Saturday, 17 March 2012

GISS - Strange Anomalies

The Goddard Institute for Space Studies is part of NASA. It's hard to think of better credentials. But if a cat may look at a king, the common man is still entitled to ask, "Where did they get that from? How did they reach those conclusions? What's their source data?"

Here is an image published by GISS, showing the astonishing and worrying overheating of the Arctic. This image is displayed prominently on the GISS website, http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/maps/. If you visit that site, press the "Make Map" button to generate the latest version of the image below.


Here's the same data, from a different perspective - above the North Pole. Just as alarming, yes?



Well, not so alarming in Antarctica, on the right. In fact, not alarming at all.

From the above you might assume that we have thermometers across the whole world. But that is not the case. There are gaps; those gaps are papered over by 'smearing': the thermometer we have got is deemed to have a 1200km radius or 2400km diameter. This is not a joke! I know that you wouldn't read a thermometer in London and asume that the people of Corsica and Oslo need the same clothes today as you.  But that is precisely what they are doing. Look! 1200km:



Changing that 1200km setting to 250km we get this:



Whoa! It's no longer the North Pole that's roasting. It's mostly Canada, Russia, Alaska. Note the grey areas! They say "no data". Next question: just how close to the Pole do we go? Well, it's here:




And where is "here"? It's the famous Svalbard. Once the barely habitable end-of-the-Earth, today an important centre of the Global Warming Industry, with loads of inward investment following the influx of climate researchers. How many climatologists does it take to read a thermometer?

Let's look at the temperature record at Svalbard:

Wow! It HAS been getting hot fast there! But it's strange that the data only go back to 1978. Let's look for a place in the far North with a nice long record of temperatures. There's a place in Northern Rusia - at 73.5N rather than Svalbad's 78.2N, but it has a record going all the way back to 1918. Trouble is.... the historical record is changing. Repeat: the historical record is changing.

Version 3 has replaced Version 2. Up until October 2011, GISS - the guardians and recipients of historic temperature records from around the world - published the v2 data (and still do, bless 'em). They replaced it with v3. Maybe there were measurement errors in 1940; how would they detect this in 2011? Other than sanitising the odd stick-out-like-sore-thumb, they couldn't. They use... ah... creativity.

See how the shape has changed? Try to draw a 'best line' through the two graphs and your right-hand line (unlike the left-hand one) will have an upward slope. Bingo! We have created a warming trend by (yes, I agree that it's a wicked deception) making the early record colder! The 'revised' version is not quite a 'hockey stick', but it's closer to one than it was before. This is the time-honoured trick of 'revisionism'. As George Orwell wrote in Nineteen Eighty-Four, "Who controls the past controls the future. Who controls the present controls the past."

You can check for yourself the data published by GISS at http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/station_data_v2/  and  http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/station_data/ (v3).On the map at the bottom, click northern Russia and a list will appear. Choose the station of your choice, such as Ostrov Dikson. Or better, repeat my Ostrov exercise for some other location and let me know if I have been cherrypicking.

Let's be clear about what seems to be happening here. It seems that GISS are fiddling the figures to give the appearance of a warming trend in the Arctic where none exists. This is a corruption of science in the service of a political agenda. Why in the Arctic? Because the general public are increasingly sceptical of overhyped "Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming" where they live, and this is a last-ditch effort to maintain the scare story. They're saying (that is, the Climatographers... they don't deserve an 'ology') "hah! It's maybe not roasting hot where you live mate, but in these remote places we see what you cannot. Stop being parochial and look at the big picture."

The rapid warming of the Arctic is a fiction. Global Warming is a fiction, and the perpetrators of this wicked myth are making their last stand in the Arctic.

Let's pick another Arctic station. Teigarhorn on Iceland. This is how they do it:
    
 See what they've done? They've suppressed the temperatures from 1903 to 1962 by 0.9C, and inflated the late 1960s by 0.8C. (Unfortunately, the record ends there.) Does it look like a hockey stick to you?

Here's a couple of actual screen-grabs (apart from the v2 & v3 titles I added) for Jan, Feb, Mar.

 January 1900 was declared at 0.7C until October 2011 - the Version 2 figures. By December 2011 GISS had rewritten the past and deemed this place in Iceland to be below freezing, -0.2C.

 You can visit this selfsame NASA GISS website and see with your own eyes. The process is:
                              1. Go to GISS's v2 or page (link above)
                              2. Scroll down to clickable map of the world
                              3. Click on area of choice (e.g. Canada): a list of stations appears
                              4. Click on station of your choice: a time-series graph appears
                              5. Below the graph is a link: "Download monthly data as text"
                              6. Decide which temperatures need comparing with v3; note them down
                              7. Repeat for v3.


Recommended reading: Notalotofpeopleknowthat, a website created by Paul Homewood, who adopts a forensic approach to climatology. Paul quotes meteorologists in Iceland who are baffled by the deflation of their historic record.

7 comments:

  1. alex verlinden11 April 2012 09:56

    nice post, Brent ...

    amazing how past "data" (i.e. a temperature reading here) can change with the years going by ...

    I have to revisit my golf handicap history and see if I am actually a single handicapper atm ... :-)

    (but then again, I would just fool myself ... which is what they are doing also ...)

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    Replies
    1. Jason Calley15 June 2012 11:40

      @ alex "I would just fool myself ... which is what they are doing also ..."

      No, no, they are not fooling themselves. They are liars. If this sort of thing were a now-and-then occurrence, or if the changes up and down roughly cancelled out, OK, maybe they would be fooling themselves. But they are not. They are lying. This sort of rewriting of history has been going on for years now -- and honest scientists and bloggers have been telling them about it for years, but the so-called "climate scientists" keep doing it. They are not fools, they are lying fraudsters and some of them are making literally millions of dollars from what they do. They are not scientists. They are criminals with credentials, they are people posing as scientists to gain your trust, just like a rapist might pretend to be a policeman to pull over a car with a woman inside. These are people whose actions will lead to the starvation and poverty of millions if they get their way. These people are not fools, the are criminals.

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  2. I wonder if you can help me. Both GISS maps for the months of May and June show Arctic mean temps above normal (ie +0.2 to +0.4C). Yet the DMI for that period show Arctic mean temps generally below average.
    http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/meant80n.uk.php
    How does one account for this quite large discrepancy?

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  3. It is plain to see that GISS no longer even pretend to hide their fiddling while Hansen is in charge. He is just ensuring his guesses in the past are match while he holds the roost at NASA. It was for a good reason that the list of astronauts etc. requested that NASA started looking at the fact instead on generating their own theories. That hasn't worked ofcourse, especially while Hansen warm the head warmist seat.

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  4. Brent

    Have you still got the this version of GISS? Could you email it to me?

    Thanks

    Paul Homewood

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Paul, I don't have screenshots or data from GISS v2 other than what's shown above. The good news is that the GISS v2 data is still on display at the GISS website: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/station_data_v2/ As best I can tell, this dataset is stable, not being retrospectively revised.

      For the benefit of others, the above link takes you to a page with a clickable map of the world. Clicking on it, you are offered a series of temperature records - some short some long - which you can observe as a graph or (below the graph) view a matrix of temperatures year by year. It's easy once you get tha hang of it.

      Comparing v2 with the shifting v3 seems to reveal some outrageous rewriting of the past. v3 is at: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/station_data/

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  5. Update: GISS shows the Jan 1900 temperature at Teigarhorn has fallen yet again? No longer +0.7C; no longer -0.2C.... it now shows as -0.4C! Can they make it fall any lower?

    At this rate, the fishing boats of 1900 will have to stay in port. One has to worry about these poor people ;-)

    ReplyDelete